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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 3
Leiston

Wraight (24')
Terry (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jackson (66'), Loza (108' pen., 120')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between AFC Hornchurch and Leiston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leiston win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
44.5%23.87%31.63%
Both teams to score 60.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.99%
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06%18.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55%50.45%
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.26%
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 44.5%
    Leiston 31.63%
    Draw 23.87%
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Hashtag United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 3-1 Brentwood Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentwood Town 2-2 Leiston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 4-1 Waltham Abbey
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-3 Braintree
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3


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