Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leiston win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).