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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road

Leiston
vs.
Hornchurch

 
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Leiston 3-1 Brentwood Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Leiston has a probability of 30.41% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win is 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.38%).

Result
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
30.41% (0.044 0.04) 23.1% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 46.49% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.81% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (0.015999999999991 0.02)24.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.21% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)16.93% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)47% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Leiston 30.41%
    AFC Hornchurch 46.49%
    Draw 23.1%
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leiston 3-1 Brentwood Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentwood Town 2-2 Leiston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 4-1 Waltham Abbey
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-3 Braintree
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Hashtag United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Welling United
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South


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