FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road
Kyran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (56')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Leiston | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
30.43% ( 0.02) | 23.1% ( -0) | 46.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0.02) |
| 61.5% ( 0.01) | 38.5% ( -0.02) |
| 39.21% ( 0.02) | 60.79% ( -0.02) |
| 75.33% ( 0.02) | 24.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.8% ( 0.02) | 59.19% ( -0.02) |
| 83.06% | 16.93% ( -0) |
