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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Chelmsford City |
24.59% ( 0.5) | 25.17% ( -0) | 50.24% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( 0.43) | 51.71% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( 0.37) | 73.48% ( -0.37) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.68) | 35.88% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.69) | 72.65% ( -0.69) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.03) | 20.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -0.05) | 53.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.59% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.24% |
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