FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
FT(HT: 2-0)
Preston-Watkins (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Bath City and Merthyr Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Bath City | Draw | Merthyr Town |
33.66% ( -0.06) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 40.05% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.04) |
| 48.3% ( -0.05) | 51.7% ( 0.05) |
| 26.52% ( -0.05) | 73.47% ( 0.04) |
| 70.9% ( -0.06) | 29.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.08) | 65.02% ( 0.08) |
| 74.62% ( 0) | 25.38% ( -0) |
