SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Bath City |
38.08% ( -0.01) | 26.07% ( -0) | 35.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( 0.02) | 50.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( 0.01) | 72.44% ( -0.01) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0) | 25.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0) | 60.9% ( -0) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.02) | 27.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.02) | 62.59% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.85% |
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