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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
56.64% ( -0.21) | 23.71% ( 0.19) | 19.66% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.71) | 51.06% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( -0.63) | 72.92% ( 0.63) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.34) | 17.84% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( -0.58) | 48.6% ( 0.59) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% ( -0.39) | 40.35% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( -0.35) | 76.97% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.62% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.66% |
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