Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
Result | ||
Bath City | Draw | Truro City |
41.57% ( 0.03) | 27.56% ( 0.21) | 30.87% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.6% ( -0.83) | 57.4% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.78% ( -0.66) | 78.22% ( 0.67) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( -0.37) | 27.2% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( -0.49) | 62.62% ( 0.49) |
Truro City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% ( -0.59) | 33.9% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( -0.65) | 70.58% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Bath City | Draw | Truro City |
1-0 @ 12% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.87% |
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