FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying

Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Carlsberg Stadium

Biggleswade Town
vs.
Alfreton

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Biggleswade Town

Last Game: Bowers & Pitsea 1-2 Biggleswade Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Alfreton Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Next Game: Alfreton vs. Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for Biggleswade Town has a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Biggleswade Town win it is 1-0 (5.09%).

Result
Biggleswade Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
17.45% ( 0.49)	21.26% ( 0.44)	61.3% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

-1.13)

44.04% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57% (

-1.11)

66.42% (

1.1)

Biggleswade Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.26% (

-0.09)

38.74% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.52% (

-0.08)

75.48% (

0.08)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.64)

13.87% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74% (

-1.28)

41.26% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Biggleswade Town 17.45%

Alfreton Town 61.29%

Draw 21.25%

Biggleswade Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.45%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.25%	0-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.9% Total : 61.29%