Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Biggleswade Town had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Biggleswade Town win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
0.38) 
-0.65) 
