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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Carlsberg Stadium
AT

Biggleswade Town
0 - 6
Alfreton

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fewster (28', 75'), Abbey (47'), Day (63', 78'), Waldock (79')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bowers & Pitsea 1-2 Biggleswade Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Biggleswade Town had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Biggleswade Town win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Biggleswade TownDrawAlfreton Town
17.45% (0.376 0.38) 21.26% (0.279 0.28) 61.3% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.591 -0.59)44.04% (0.594 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (-0.579 -0.58)66.42% (0.581 0.58)
Biggleswade Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (0.094000000000001 0.09)38.74% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52% (0.09 0.09)75.48% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.384 -0.38)13.87% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (-0.769 -0.77)41.26% (0.772 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Biggleswade Town 17.45%
    Alfreton Town 61.29%
    Draw 21.25%
Biggleswade TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.143 0.14)
2-1 @ 4.77% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.45%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.138 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 10.61% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 3.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 61.29%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Bowers & Pitsea 1-2 Biggleswade Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Biggleswade Town 3-1 Harleston Town
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Harleston Town 1-1 Biggleswade Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Spalding (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spalding 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North


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