SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Alfreton Town |
28.59% ( 0.55) | 27.01% ( -0.08) | 44.39% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.76% ( 0.54) | 56.24% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.71% ( 0.43) | 77.28% ( -0.44) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 0.72) | 35.01% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( 0.75) | 71.75% ( -0.75) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( 0) | 25.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( 0.01) | 59.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.39% |
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