SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spalding United had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spalding United win it was 1-2 (4.73%).
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Spalding United |
62.36% ( 0.35) | 20.51% ( 0.02) | 17.13% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.73) | 41.23% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0.75) | 63.63% ( 0.75) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.33% ( -0.13) | 12.67% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.16% ( -0.26) | 38.84% ( 0.26) |
| Spalding United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0.87) | 37.43% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.79% ( -0.86) | 74.21% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Spalding United |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.13% |
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