SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
46.79% ( 0.14) | 25.33% ( -0.07) | 27.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.25) | 50.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.23) | 72.02% ( -0.23) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 0.16) | 21.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( 0.25) | 54.39% ( -0.26) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.08) | 32.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( 0.09) | 68.79% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.87% |
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