Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 69.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Spalding United had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Spalding United win it was 1-0 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
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