SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
42.41% ( 0.24) | 25.95% ( -0.15) | 31.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( 0.58) | 50.87% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 0.51) | 72.75% ( -0.51) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( 0.38) | 23.8% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.04% ( 0.54) | 57.96% ( -0.54) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( 0.23) | 30.02% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( 0.27) | 66.14% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.63% |
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