Birmingham were up for the fight during Mowbray's first match but looked defensively weak at points, something Hull's Carvalho could take advantage of.
The Tigers are dominating football matches but are not finding the results in recent games, but they should be good enough for the win here unless they rotate their side heavily.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
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