SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Hull City |
42.58% ( 0.8) | 26.68% ( 0.44) | 30.74% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( -1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.91% ( -2.16) | 54.09% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -1.84) | 75.51% ( 1.84) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.56) | 25.14% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0.78) | 59.86% ( 0.78) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( -1.95) | 32.28% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% ( -2.27) | 68.77% ( 2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.74% |
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