SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
33.61% ( -0.9) | 25.51% ( -0.39) | 40.88% ( 1.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( 1.5) | 48.39% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( 1.35) | 70.52% ( -1.36) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.17) | 27.51% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% ( 0.22) | 63.02% ( -0.22) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 1.33) | 23.47% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 1.89) | 57.48% ( -1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.88% |
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