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HL
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
BL

Hull City
1 - 1
Birmingham

Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-0 Birmingham City

Hull will be favourites to progress here considering Birmingham's lack of confidence, but the Tigers could have been handed an easier draw in the third round. Blues are likely to adopt a defence-minded approach as they look to steady the ship ahead of the new manager's arrival, although we believe that Saturday afternoon will end in defeat for Spooner's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
51.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)44.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.73% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.51%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 51.61%
    Birmingham City 24.9%
    Draw 23.48%
Hull CityDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 24.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Hull City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 3-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull City
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Leicester
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship


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