SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 9.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
75.1% ( 1.82) | 15.16% ( -0.7) | 9.74% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.03) | 33.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.5% ( -0.03) | 55.5% ( 0.03) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.46% ( 0.37) | 7.54% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.97% ( 0.95) | 27.02% ( -0.95) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.4% ( -2.11) | 43.59% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.21% ( -1.8) | 79.79% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.53)2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.17)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.45)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.15)6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 75.1% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.74% |
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