SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
31.15% ( -0.03) | 25.53% ( 0.01) | 43.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( -0.04) | 49.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( -0.04) | 71.29% ( 0.04) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.04) | 29.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( -0.05) | 65.54% ( 0.05) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.01) | 22.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.72% ( -0.01) | 56.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.33% |
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