Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
