Bolton, with their squad depth, should be able to get past an Oxford team low on confidence. The visitors will not be pushovers, though, and will make Wanderers work hard for their three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.04) 
