SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
36.18% ( 1.45) | 27.33% ( -0.07) | 36.48% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( 0.36) | 55.69% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( 0.3) | 76.83% ( -0.3) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 1.09) | 29.48% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 1.31) | 65.48% ( -1.31) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -0.64) | 29.29% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -0.8) | 65.26% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.48% |
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