SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Barnet |
44.6% ( -6.42) | 23.5% ( 1.14) | 31.9% ( 5.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( -2.12) | 39.68% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( -2.24) | 62.04% ( 2.24) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( -3.18) | 18.13% ( 3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.9% ( -5.73) | 49.1% ( 5.72) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 2.35) | 24.35% ( -2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.25% ( 3.21) | 58.75% ( -3.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.77)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.85)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.9)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.66)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.61)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.97)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.93)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.9% |
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