SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
38.4% ( -0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.03) | 37.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.14) | 40.77% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.14) | 63.15% ( -0.15) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.06) | 21.35% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( 0.09) | 54.32% ( -0.09) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( 0.13) | 54.92% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.61% |
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