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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
38.82% ( -1.9) | 26.25% ( 0.07) | 34.93% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( 0.05) | 51.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( 0.05) | 73.17% ( -0.05) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0.99) | 25.89% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -1.36) | 60.87% ( 1.36) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( 1.18) | 28.13% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( 1.48) | 63.81% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.93% |
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