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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
53.23% ( -0.11) | 23.47% ( 0.04) | 23.3% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( -0.08) | 45.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.85% ( -0.08) | 68.15% ( 0.07) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( -0.07) | 17.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.58% ( -0.12) | 47.42% ( 0.12) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.02) | 33.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( 0.02) | 70.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.3% |
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