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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Bromsgrove Sporting

Greenidge (16'), Crichlow (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whittigham (90+3')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Chelmsford City and Bromsgrove Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bromsgrove Sporting had a probability of 12.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Bromsgrove Sporting win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBromsgrove Sporting
67.71% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 19.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.25% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)37.96% (0.012 0.01)
Bromsgrove Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57% (0.012 0.01)45.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)81.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 67.7%
    Bromsgrove Sporting 12.91%
    Draw 19.38%
Chelmsford CityDrawBromsgrove Sporting
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 67.7%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 12.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tilbury 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-5 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Chippenham
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 Bottesford Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 Belper Town
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Belper Town 2-2 Bromsgrove Sporting
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bromsgrove Sporting 0-1 Solihull
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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