Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 2
Liverpool

Kovacic (42'), Pulisic (45+1')
Pulisic (17')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Mane (9'), Salah (26')
Mane (1'), Konate (83')

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The Match

We said: Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool

The confidence levels in both camps are far from 100% right now, but the Blues' depleted and potentially youthful defence is sure to work in Liverpool's favour on Sunday. The importance of securing all three points before Salah and Mane jet off to AFCON cannot be understated for the Reds, and we expect Klopp's side to earn the latest in a long line of positive results at Stamford Bridge to inflict more damage on their rivals' title chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Liverpool
33.78%	25.43%	40.79%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

47.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83%

70.16%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78%

27.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36%

62.64%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66%

23.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7%

57.3%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 33.78%

Liverpool 40.79%

Draw 25.42%

Chelsea	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 33.78%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.79%