We said: Chelsea 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Both sides were certainly made to work for their results in the Premier League at the weekend and fatigue could come into play, especially with Conte reluctant to alter his starting lineup recently.
The Blues should have at least one recognised striker available here, but while their run of draws at Stamford Bridge has to end at some point, we expect Conte's resilient defence to withstand the onslaught and leave it all to play for in the second leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
