Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
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