Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
