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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
45.84% ( -1.58) | 26.17% ( 0.16) | 27.99% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0.21) | 53.34% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( 0.18) | 74.88% ( -0.18) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.64) | 23.22% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -0.94) | 57.12% ( 0.94) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( 1.25) | 33.94% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( 1.33) | 70.61% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.99% |
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