Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
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