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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
4 - 1
Gloucester City

Mahon (36', 73'), Spencer (62'), Mols (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brain (17')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawGloucester City
60.81% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 20.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)41.3% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)63.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)13.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19% (0.047999999999995 0.05)39.81% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.99% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 60.81%
    Gloucester City 18.24%
    Draw 20.94%
Curzon AshtonDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 60.81%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 18.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 South Shields
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-3 Curzon Ashton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-1 Banbury
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-3 Spennymoor
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-6 Chester
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North


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