FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Gloucester City and Paulton Rovers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 57%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Paulton Rovers |
57% ( -0.07) | 20.72% | 22.26% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.08% ( 0.09) |
| 65.65% ( 0.08) | 34.34% ( -0.08) |
| 43.74% ( 0.09) | 56.25% ( -0.09) |
| 87.97% ( 0) | 12.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.01) | 37.49% ( -0.01) |
| 71.7% ( 0.1) | 28.29% ( -0.11) |
