Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 85.98%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 4.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.65%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.