SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | St Albans City |
32.66% ( -1.25) | 24.27% ( -0.4) | 43.07% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( 1.52) | 43.08% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( 1.48) | 65.48% ( -1.48) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.03) | 60.39% ( 0.03) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 1.4) | 20.16% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( 2.19) | 52.45% ( -2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.95% Total : 43.07% |
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