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League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
GT

Salford City
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Stockton (15')
Mnoga (8'), McAleny (30'), Austerfield (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barrington (1', 45+1')
Cass (39'), McJannett (81'), Khouri (88'), Carson (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Salford City 1-1 Grimsby Town

Given Salford's lack of goals, we cannot back them with any great confidence ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, they may do enough for a share of the spoils, keeping them clear of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawGrimsby Town
35.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.8% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.13%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.34% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 35.87%
    Grimsby Town 38.22%
    Draw 25.91%
Salford CityDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Salford City
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Salford City
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two


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