SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
| 73.67% | 15.54% | 10.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.79% | 32.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.18% | 53.82% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.51% | 7.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.9% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% | 40.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.8% | 77.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 5.72% 4-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.97% 5-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.52% Total : 73.67% | 1-1 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.54% | 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-1 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 1.25% 0-2 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.79% |
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