Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
43.78% ( -0.34) | 25.62% ( 0.1) | 30.6% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.17% ( -0.31) | 49.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.17% ( -0.28) | 71.83% ( 0.27) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( -0.29) | 22.69% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( -0.43) | 56.34% ( 0.43) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( 0.01) | 30.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( 0.01) | 66.35% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.6% |
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