Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Oxford United in this match.