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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
MU

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Maidenhead

Bodin (15', 83')
Rodrigues (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Oxford United and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Maidenhead 3-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 10.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
72.19% (0.012 0.01) 17.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 10.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.46% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)33.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (-0.012 -0.01)47.7% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)83.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 72.19%
    Maidenhead United 10.5%
    Draw 17.31%
Oxford UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
2-0 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.51%
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.31%
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 10.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Maidenhead 3-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League


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