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National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
MU

Aldershot
4 - 2
Maidenhead

Barham (36', 38'), Tolaj (81', 90+6')
Rowe (25'), Haigh (40')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Zimba (15', 22')
Clerima (5'), Adams (65'), Golding (65')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawMaidenhead United
47.85% (0.624 0.62) 24.6% (-0.131 -0.13) 27.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
Both teams to score 55.36% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (0.247 0.25)47.12% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (0.229 0.23)69.36% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (0.361 0.36)19.76% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2% (0.581 0.58)51.8% (-0.582 -0.58)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)31.01% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.282 -0.28)67.32% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 47.85%
    Maidenhead United 27.55%
    Draw 24.59%
Aldershot TownDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Southend
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 3-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Altrincham
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League


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