Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
47.85% ( 0.62) | 24.6% ( -0.13) | 27.55% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( 0.25) | 47.12% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( 0.23) | 69.36% ( -0.23) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.36) | 19.76% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 0.58) | 51.8% ( -0.58) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( -0.24) | 31.01% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( -0.28) | 67.32% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.55% |
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