Lincoln have lost just one of their six home league games this season, but we think they will do enough to hold their high-flying opponents to a score draw in Tuesday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.