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League One | Gameweek 7
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
OU

Lincoln
0 - 2
Oxford Utd

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (13'), Jensen (64' og.)
Rodrigues (40'), O'Donkor (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Oxford United

Lincoln have lost just one of their six home league games this season, but we think they will do enough to hold their high-flying opponents to a score draw in Tuesday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
32.11%26.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.11%
    Oxford United 41.39%
    Draw 26.48%
Lincoln CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.11%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 41.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One


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