Salford have won three of their previous four competitive home matches against Cheltenham, and we think that they will enjoy more home success on Saturday, especially as they will take confidence from the fact that they have already beaten the Robins at the Peninsula Stadium this season, claiming a narrow win when the two sides faced off in September.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 52%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
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