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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
CT

Rotherham
1 - 3
Cheltenham

Wilks (37')
Powell (46'), Odofin (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Colwill (36', 45'), Archer (58')
Kinsella (21'), Young (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Rotherham United 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Even despite their struggles so far this season, particularly going forward, Rotherham United should have too much for their fourth-tier visitors on Saturday, and we can only see the Millers progressing in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
50.02% (0.468 0.47) 24.01% (0.316 0.32) 25.97% (-0.784 -0.78)
Both teams to score 55.93% (-1.781 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-2.024 -2.02)45.74% (2.022 2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-1.952 -1.95)68.06% (1.951 1.95)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (-0.593 -0.59)18.34% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (-1.012 -1.01)49.45% (1.011 1.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-1.672 -1.67)31.5% (1.671 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-1.976 -1.98)67.89% (1.975 1.97)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 50.02%
    Cheltenham Town 25.97%
    Draw 24.01%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.645 0.65)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.397 0.4)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.02%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.483 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Rotherham
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two


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