Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
34.04% ( 0.27) | 25% ( -0.02) | 40.95% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( 0.15) | 46.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( 0.14) | 68.35% ( -0.14) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( 0.23) | 26.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( 0.31) | 61.2% ( -0.31) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% ( -0.06) | 22.41% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% ( -0.09) | 55.93% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.95% |
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