With Salford City firmly involved in the intensely competitive League Two playoff battle, we predict that The Ammies will be able to take their league form into the semi-finals of the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Salford City
34.04% ( 0.27)	25% ( -0.02)	40.95% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95% (

0.15)

46.05% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

0.14)

68.35% (

-0.14)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.23)

26.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.31)

61.2% (

-0.31)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

-0.06)

22.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

-0.09)

55.93% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 34.04%

Salford City 40.95%

Draw 25%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.04%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.95%