Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.