SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newcastle Town |
76.44% ( -1.57) | 15.01% ( 0.76) | 8.54% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.7) | 37.25% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.75) | 59.46% ( 0.75) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( -0.5) | 8.08% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.27) | 28.41% ( 1.27) |
| Newcastle Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.33% ( 1.46) | 48.67% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.28% ( 1.03) | 83.72% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newcastle Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.44)1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.43% Total : 76.43% | 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.01% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.54% |
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