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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lyme Valley Stadium
SU

Newcastle Town
1 - 1
Scunthorpe

Avery (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (77')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Newcastle Town and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Newcastle Town 2-1 Long Eaton United FC
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 85.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 3.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.85%) and 0-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 1-0 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle TownDrawScunthorpe United
3.88% (0.0038999999999998 0) 10.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 85.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 35.76% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.74% (0.087000000000003 0.09)35.25% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.73% (0.096000000000004 0.1)57.27% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Newcastle Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.94% (0.080000000000005 0.08)62.06% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)91.66% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)5.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05)22.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Town 3.88%
    Scunthorpe United 85.76%
    Draw 10.35%
Newcastle TownDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.88%
1-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 10.35%
0-2 @ 14.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 13.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-4 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.61% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 5.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 4.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-6 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
0-7 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 85.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle Town 2-1 Long Eaton United FC
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle Town 2-0 Westfields
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Westfields 1-1 Newcastle Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle Town 3-2 Evesham United
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Evesham United 1-1 Newcastle Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle Town 0-5 Crewe
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Kidderminster
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-2 Scunthorpe
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North


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