Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 85.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 3.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.85%) and 0-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Newcastle Town win it was 1-0 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.