FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Spennymoor Town and Morpeth Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morpeth Town had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Morpeth Town win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Morpeth Town |
61.91% ( 0.01) | 19.4% ( -0.01) | 18.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0) |
| 66.84% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.02) |
| 45.09% ( 0.01) | 54.9% ( -0.02) |
| 89.63% ( 0) | 10.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0.01) | 33.86% ( -0.02) |
| 69.15% ( -0) | 30.85% ( -0) |
