Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morpeth Town had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Morpeth Town win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Morpeth Town |
61.91% ( 0.01) | 19.4% ( -0.01) | 18.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.84% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.09% ( 0.01) | 54.9% ( -0.02) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.63% ( 0) | 10.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.14% ( 0.01) | 33.86% ( -0.02) |
Morpeth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( -0) | 30.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( -0) | 67.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Morpeth Town |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.4% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 18.69% |
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