SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Darlington in this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
37.47% ( -0.07) | 26.73% ( -0.01) | 35.8% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( 0.06) | 53.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( 0.05) | 74.82% ( -0.05) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( -0.02) | 63.05% ( 0.02) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.08) | 28.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 0.1) | 64.31% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.8% |
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